Can Virgin Group Solve the Cruise Industry’s Old-People Problem?

A worker leans over a railing on the Celebrity Constellation cruise ship while docked in Falmouth, Jamaica, on Monday, Dec. 17, 2012.

Tim Boyle/Bloomberg

Sun, fun and drinks on a boat? That’s about as logical a brand extension as one could imagine for Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Group, which plans to field two new, 4,200-passenger cruise ships late this decade and begin selling Caribbean voyages.

Virgin Group’s expansion into the cruise market seems inevitable, given the company’s long experience in travel and hospitality, from airlines to passenger rail to space travel to its first Virgin Hotel, which opens next month in Chicago. In fact, Virgin has been considering a cruise brand for several years, says Evan Lovell, a U.S.-based Virgin executive, but only moved ahead this year, after judging its brand image suitably well-formed and appreciated in the U.S. The United States is by far the world’s largest cruise market, contributing more than half the estimated 22 million people who took a cruise this year, followed by the United Kingdom, Ireland and Germany. There is also room for new brands: Today, three cruise players control more than 80 percent of the market.

Virgin, along with its lead investor, Bain Capital, is betting it can solve for a longstanding problem in the cruise industry: Most customers are loyal, return cruisers, and the industry is keenly seeking to attract first-timers—cruise virgins, as it were. Along with what the industry dubs “cruise nevers,” Virgin will target younger cruisers who “value a fun, youthful, energetic experience,” Lovell says. “There is a misperception that the cruise business is an older person’s experience.”

The company will probably offer four-to-seven-day cruises in the Caribbean, complemented by sailings in the Mediterranean. Virgin’s plans also were delayed due to deliberations about whether to retrofit older ships for the venture or to order new.

Also to Virgin’s advantage, the industry has dialed back its effort to construct ever-larger ships, with more varieties of dining and entertainment. “They’ve reached the point where you can’t simply build a bigger boat,” says Ryan Cotton, a principal with Bain Capital. That suggests to Bain and Virgin that a cruiser’s focus is shifting from the vastness of novel options onboard—bumper cars! rock climbing! skydiving! chocolate buffets!—to a cruise’s overall service and experience. Ship size and over-the-top amenities will fade as the industry settles on ships that accommodate 4,000-4,500 passengers, Cotton says: “The industry has realized that this is almost exactly the sweet spot. It’s big enough to provide all the onboard amenities you need but it’s not too big that customers get lost.”

The largest player in the industry, Carnival, considers land-based vacations its main competition and welcomes a new cruise brand, spokesman Roger Frizzell said in an email.  “The cruise marketplace represents only a small percentage of the overall vacation market today, so anything that can help stimulate new cruising guests is good for the industry as a whole,” he wrote.

Of course, as the owner of a 105-foot luxury catamaran called Necker Belle, Virgin founder Branson has plenty of personal seafaring experience. If a Virgin Cruises voyage seems too mass-market, Necker Belle is available for charter–only $110,000 per week.

Branson looks to make waves with expansion into cruising

After toying with the concept for many years, Richard Branson finally took the plunge and committed his Virgin brand to a new cruise venture, to be known as Virgin Cruises.

The startup will be the first major cruise line to be created from scratch with newbuilds since Walt Disney Co. unveiled its cruise plans nearly 20 years ago.

Though sometimes controversial, Branson, the founder of Virgin Group, has earned international respect in the business world as a visionary entrepreneur.

But one cruise veteran said Disney’s experience demonstrated what kinds of challenges Virgin faces.

“It’s not an easy business to break into,” said Mark Conroy, former Regent Seven Seas Cruises president. “It took Disney four or five years to get it where it needed to be.”

Branson’s vision and business acumen should help overcome obstacles. His Virgin Atlantic Airways provides a distinctive product in a fairly uniform industry, and the Virgin label is a part of more than 400 businesses worldwide, including entries in travel, entertainment, telecommunications, media, financial services and healthcare.

“We plan to shake up the cruise industry and deliver a holiday that customers will absolutely love,” Branson said in a statement announcing the formation of Virgin Cruises.

In that statement, Virgin Group said the line planned to start by building two “world-class” ships. The size of the vessels was not disclosed, nor was a date mentioned for the start of operations. Virgin said those details were being withheld for competitive reasons.

Conroy estimated it will take 36 to 40 months to design, build and deliver a ship that will serve as a prototype for the line.

The new cruise line plans a headquarters in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale area, which could be seen as a sign that it will be more focused on selling to the North American market initially than to the U.K., where most of Branson’s other businesses are based.

In the U.K., cruise tours are sold under the Virgin Holidays Cruises label, combining a land vacation with a cruise on a variety of established U.K.- and U.S.-based cruise lines.

Conroy said starting a cruise line has become a dauntingly expensive proposition, estimating it will cost $750 million to $1 billion to build the ships that Virgin disclosed.

“In the olden days, you could start a cruise line with $20 million or $30 million,” Conroy said. “Not today.”

To help with financing, Virgin Group said it has enlisted Bain Capital, a well-known private equity and venture capital firm, to be its lead investment partner. Notable investments in startups by Bain Capital’s venture arm include DoubleClick, LinkedIn and Shopping.com.

For cruise expertise, Virgin has hired Disney alum Tom McAlpin as CEO of Virgin Cruises. McAlpin helped found Disney Cruise Line and was its president from 1996 to 2009. He subsequently became CEO of The World, Residences at Sea. A Miami native, he started his cruise career at Royal Caribbean International.

“Opportunities like this do not come often, so I am very excited to lead this business and introduce the Virgin brand to the cruise industry,” McAlpin said in a statement.

Adam Snitzer, principal at Peak Revenue Performance, a Miami Beach cruise consulting company, said Disney’s continued success in the cruise business was partly due to McAlpin.

“He’ll bring a lot of fresh ideas to the Virgin brand,” Snitzer said. “Getting a new cruise line off the ground is a lot of work. Tom’s done it before for Disney. I see no reason to think he can’t do it again.”

Snitzer said that Branson’s arrival is good news for a business on the hunt for new and younger customers.

“To the extent that many people still see cruising as ‘food fests for seniors,’ having a cool, hip, well-known entrepreneur like Branson as an owner will only help to further break down that old misperception,” he said.

Branson’s interest in cruise was well known in the industry. “He’s probably talked to everyone in the business over the years,” Conroy said.

Ray Cotton, a principal with Bain Capital, said the cruise industry needs what Branson’s got.

“With a small number of global players, an experience in need of refreshing and consumers ready for something new and exciting, the industry exhibits all the characteristics of one ripe for a new entrant,” Virgin’s statement quoted him as saying.

But Conroy said cruise lines are already doing some interesting things without any outside pressure, citing ships such as Royal Caribbean’s Quantum of the Seas and Norwegian Cruise Line’s Norwegian Breakaway.

“Norwegian is a transformed company,” Conroy said.

Although the Virgin brand is a strong marker for hip and youthful, Conroy said he was uncertain whether it would command the same premium as Disney does in the family market.

“It all depends on what it delivers,” Conroy said.

Virgin Atlantic has cultivated a loyal following, but if anything its transatlantic fares are lower than those offered by old-line competitors such as British Airways or Lufthansa.

Conroy said that Branson’s dealings with travel agents are encouraging. “I know a lot of agents who know him, and he seems to be agent-friendly,” he said.

Evan Lovell, a partner at Virgin Management Ltd., said in a statement that the cruise line will benefit from Virgin’s “extensive travel and leisure experience,” which includes passenger train service in the U.K. and a new hotel brand that is scheduled to open its first property in Chicago next month.

Much like Disney, Virgin can benefit from mining its existing databases to market the cruise venture to customers who have already tried some of its other travel-related products.

Travel lacking expertise in technology consulting, claims Codegen

Travel lacking expertise in technology consulting, claims Codegen

Travel firms are often badly advised about their travel technology needs by advisors who are not sufficiently technically minded, according to one leading supplier.

Codegen, which supplies its Travelbox solution to travel companies including Virgin Holidays and Monarch Group among others, believes a lack of strategic strategy is why a lot of travel IT projects go wrong.

Bharat Patel commercial director at Codegen, said too often firms are blinded by the science and lose sight of the strategic control of the technology project they are working on.

He said: “Where a lot of these projects go wrong is the buying decisions are made by the directors but the actual decisions are made on the ground floor.

“This leads to a strategic divergence between the project’s intentions and what is actually implemented.”

Patel said there needs strong strategic control to ensure an IT project doesn’t just become a replication of an old system.

Monarch Group distribution director Stuart Jackson told Travolution how it is using the implementation of Travelbox to underpin a fundamental transformation in how the organisation operates and a modernisation of its various divisions.

Patel said: “If you bring an outsider in with some technological savvy they will be able to make the right decisions with you. You see so many poor consultants who are features-led.

“For Monarch using Travelbox means they can choose the way they approach their business. The benefit we had working with Monarch was their consultants were not entrenched in a way of working.”

Codegen believes it is now reaping the rewards from its decision to base its technology on the Linux open source platform from the outset when it was established in 1999.

Patel said the firm came from outside of the industry and although there was initial resistance to its approach the web and Java has now come to dominate more traditional forms of travel IT architecture.

“We started off with a standard version based on open source because all our guys did not like Microsoft. They also wanted to be independent, they did not want to be tied down to a particular vendor,” he said.

With the stability and power of Oracle sitting behind Codegen, it believes it has the ability to scale up and has done tests to give it the confidence it can cope with large numbers.

Patel said Codegen has a very clear focus on research and development at its headquarters in Colombo, Sri Lanka where it employs nearly 200 people, including a number of PhD students.

“A lot of people build technology based on what they learn, but we test out new technology. Our R&D is active 24/7, whether it’s client-led or not

“We work very closely with universities. They can implement what we are doing in their research. You have to be a true technology person to understand the latest technology, you need academic people to go into research papers to find out what this is all about.”

Codegen says its technology is particularly suited to large tour operators and that it gives them the flexibility to operate as a traditional package supplier but also more dynamically creating product and offers on the fly.

The Travelbox system can sit behind all divisions bringing efficiencies in terms of product loading and better more integrated management information.

A recent innovation known as Wide Search allows the user to switch seamlessly between various booking flows, whether that’s traditional packages, pre-packages or flexible packages, allowing agents to tailor trips without moving between systems.

Wide Search is helping Codegen to hone its mobile offering which uses artificial intelligence aimed at generating more relevant, personalised offers for its customers’ customers.

The firm is also looking to exploit voice search and the new generation HTML5 interface as mobile continues to establish itself as a vital channel for travel firms.

“We want to be in a position to be there when the next big thing comes along,” said Patel. “People are becoming more adaptable to technology. The whole mobility side has opened up a lot of avenues. We have devices around us all the time now.

“Business are still 80:20 when it comes to technology and innovation – they want to make sure they protect their core business first. They do not want to be the pioneer. CodeGen brings strong basics and does the pioneering for them.

“New entrants come in with a technology background and some marketing and sometimes they fall down because they have not got the travel experience.

“We see ourselves as innovators and innovators are looking beyond today, they are not stuck looking at the present because if you do that in the IT world you will never survive.”