The launch of Carnival Cruise Line’s new ship Mardi Gras has been pushed back a month after the company further extended its suspension of sailings.
The vessel will now begin operating from Port Canaveral from 29 May – amended from 24 April.
Carnival has now cancelled all US departures through to 30 April and all Australian operations until 19 May.
The line has also has axed European itineraries for Carnival Legend which were due to begin in May and operate through to 31 October.
Booked guests and travel agents are being notified directly of the cancellations about taking a future cruise credit and onboard credit package or a full refund.
Carnival president Christine Duffy said: “Our guests and travel agent partners continue to express their loyalty to Carnival and their desire to get back on our ships as soon as they can, and we are heartened by the booking demand and activity we continue to see.
“We are certainly committed to welcoming them back as quickly as possible, but unfortunately we have determined it’s going to take a while longer, and the situation in Europe will also impact Mardi Gras’ departure to the U.S., and Carnival Legend’s itineraries in Europe.”
Meanwhile, Carnival Corporation’s Italian brand Costa has announced plans to resume operations on 13 March.
Costa said current Covid restrictions do not allow guests to “enjoy an adequate on-shore experience and the ability to fully explore the itinerary’s destinations”.
As many as 13 cruise ships were reduced to scrap in 2020 – more than in the five preceding years combined.
The number of cruise vessels removed from the worldwide fleet in 2020 was so high that scrap yards have been struggling to keep up with the demand – especially when the vessels are registered in the European Union and, therefore, have to comply with stricter regulations.
According to Vagelis Chatziginnis, a senior trader at GMS Leadership (one such company that organizes ship scrapping), most of the vessel scrapping in 2020 took place in Turkey.
“We have seen a couple of units being sold for recycling in India already, but a couple of units is nothing compared to the numbers we’ve seen in Turkey so far,” Chatziginnis told Cruise Industry News. “Some of these larger cruise ships (are) being laid up in locations like Greece, for example, until more spaces are available to digest in Turkey.”
Scrap Values
Chatziginnis said the average scrap value in India is $400 per ton. In Turkey, the value is considerably less at $280-300 per ton. At the height of the pandemic, however, those values could be as low as $90 for EU-flagged ships.
“When the pandemic was at its peak – let’s say around summer 2020 – and the first cruise ships started being scrapped, some of them were even getting double digits, like hardly $100 per ton, maybe $90,” he said.
The value can depend on various factors, such as the country where the facilities are located or whether the cruise vessel was registered in an EU country.
“If the vessel has to be recycled in compliance with a regulation of the European Union, you would probably be looking in Turkey for something like $200 per ton equivalent because of their very limited capacity of the yards, which are compliant with European regulations,” Chatziginnis explained.
“In the U.S., you have one facility that is approved in the European Union. So, the vessel could be recycled there, but it’s a totally different market. You would probably be looking at something like $80 per ton, for example,” he added.
However, Chatziginnis said that steel prices globally have increased dramatically over the past few months and residual value has increased by nearly $100 per ton in each of the major ship recycling counties.
Process Organization
A role of a company like GMS is to organize the entire recycling process.
“So, ultimately the ownership and responsibility of the vessel would be transferred to the owning entity that would be buying the vessel. The cruise line has nothing to do anymore with the vessel. And thereafter, we are arranging the transportation from point A to point B,” Chatziginnis said.
“Let’s say you’re taking delivery of a cruise vessel and, let’s say, from Piraeus.
So, from Piraeus in Greece, we put our crew on board, and we arrange for the unit to go to Turkey. We are (then) sending the unit to the recycling facility, and the recycling facility has to pay for purchasing the vessel to recycle in accordance with the standards that we’re going to agree on,” he added.
GMS also vets the requirements of the original owner for regulations that need to be complied with and then guides them with how to proceed with the scraping in the best interests of the cruise industry.
“It sounds like it’s simple, but it isn’t always. Especially when you have to respect other regulations (like the EU ones),” Chatziginnis said.
What Holds
A record-breaking 46 cruise vessels could enter service in 2021: 30 ships that are set to debut and 16 more ships that were delivered in 2020 but have yet to enter revenue service.
With that many ships entering the scene, cruise lines have to be wary not to oversupply the market, said VesselsValue, a maritime data provider.
“A quick and confident return of demand is paramount for the industry to rebound; otherwise, we should expect to see further delays and removals in an attempt to balance things out,” VesselsValue’s cargo analyst, Guy Cooper, told Cruise Industry News.
The other sad consequence of the pandemic is that many relatively young cruise ships are getting scrapped.
“Look at the Marco Polo – it is a 55-year-old vessel … It has been operating for, like, more than 50 years now… And now, all the other major lines are scrapping all the vessels that were built in the 1990s and the 1980s. This is quite young for the normal industry in cruising in our understanding,” said Chatziginnis.
“I doubt that in the last decade, at least, or maybe even more than this, we have seen so many cruise ships being recycled in a year,” he added.
Cruise lines will need agents “more than ever” as the sector emerges from the Covid-19 pandemic over the next year.
Martin Alcock, director at Travel Trade Consultancy, said that cruise “would take a bit longer to bounce back” from the crisis than other parts of the travel industry.
But he added there was significant growth potential as cruise still represents just a “small portion” of the overall holiday market.
“It’s always been a complicated product to sell and cruise lines will need agents more than ever,” said Alcock during Barclays’ Travel Industry State of the Nation online event. “There will be more commission and more in the way of overrides.”
Alcock said that one of the “upsides” to this year’s crisis was that it had “accelerated” the retirement of older vessels which would reduce worldwide cruise capacity by 8%-10% in 2021. Fleets will also be more efficient and sustainable as they comprise more modern ships.
“The 10% reduction in capacity will help from a price perspective,” he added. “There’s plenty of opportunities to grow.”
Alcock said that while the cruise industry’s core demographic had been “more affected” by the pandemic than other age groups, they were also likely to be “inoculated more quickly than other demographics”.
“Cruise has unfairly had a disproportionate share of bad press but I don’t think it’s terrible news. It’s not a total disaster,” he added.
Alistair Pritchard, travel and aviation lead partner at Deloitte, said the extra complexities created by a combination of Covid and Brexit would lead to more consumers looking to the trade for advice and support.
“They [agents] will need to help support customers across the whole journey – not just when booking,” he added. “They [customers] want advice just before travelling and whilst they are abroad. That’s where the consumer wants to support.”