Norwegian at cruise capacity ‘tipping point’

Norwegian at cruise capacity 'tipping point' Norwegian Cruise Line is coming to a “tipping point” in terms of new capacity arriving and needs to “get serious” about growing international markets to ensure it fills it.

The line, which recently launched Breakaway (pictured) and Getaway, will add another four new ships between 2015 and 2020.

Francis Riley, director of international markets, said: “We need to be looking at the long-term strategic investment in international markets; whether that’s through marketing, buying more charter seats, or how we’re driving more distribution.”

He said getting more agents selling Norwegian, and more training and education to make sure they are targeting the right customers, was key.

“The biggest opportunity for us is to support the capacity growth that’s coming in with all our new ships by developing our international business – and that bodes really well for the UK as it’s our biggest single market outside the US.”

Riley added: “I think my biggest fear is that typically, there’s only one cruise specialist in any agency. That keeps me up at night.

“Every agent sells a package but not every agent feels comfortable selling a cruise, and that has to be my biggest concern as the sector grows. It’s our responsibility as an industry to tackle this issue.”

He said he understood agents had a lot of pressures so said it was “important to make them understand the differentiation between the cruise brands”.

Riley claimed Norwegian’s Partners First scheme was enjoying huge success by rewarding agents that work in true partnership with the line to grow both their businesses.

He claimed that despite reducing base commission to 10%, Norwegian had paid out “just as much if not more” in rewards to those key agents that had performed really well for the line.

“Agents have the opportunity to earn well in excess of the base rate and many do. Many of them are retaining more commission than they ever have done with us,” he said.

Riley claimed Norwegian, having posted 24 quarters of consecutive growth, could now truly claim to be “industry leading rather than industry following”.

“By any measure, whether it’s EBITDA, net per share, net revenue, Norwegian is now best in class,” he said.

UBS Sees Conservative Growth in Cruise Capacity

UBS Sees Conservative Growth in Cruise Capacity

Findings are based on scheduled delivery of new ships during the upcoming yearsBy: Marilyn Green

Cruise
Viking Ocean has newbuilds scheduled for 2015 and 2016, with the potential for additional orders. // © 2013 Viking Cruises

Viking Ocean has newbuilds scheduled for 2015 and 2016, with the potential for additional orders. // © 2013 Viking Cruises

UBS Investment Research periodically publishes an evaluation of cruise capacity and where it is headed. In its current study, UBS said Carnival Corporation may be in discussions with shipbuilders for another Seabourn order, which could be announced before the end of 2013. The new ship is likely planned for 2017, as the analysts think Carnival is finished ordering for 2016, with three orders currently in place. In addition, Royal Caribbean International has an option that expires in December for a fourth Oasis-class order scheduled for mid-2018 delivery — another possible order that could be announced later this year.

UBS expects 3-4 percent compound annual capacity growth in North America for the period of 2012-2016, which is below the 10-year average between 2003 and 2012, which came in at just under 6 percent. Analysts are predicting about three percent average growth in 2013 and 2014, as all ordering for those years is now completed, and further withdrawals of existing ships are likely to be announced later.

Analyst Robin Farley pointed out that Carnival Corporation has reiterated its intention of scheduling delivery of two to three ships per year and has only two ships on order for delivery in each 2014 and 2015. Royal Caribbean had been maintaining capital spending discipline, with one ship on order for delivery in 2014 and one in 2015, and no ships scheduled to be delivered for 2013.

Meanwhile, Norwegian Cruise Line exercised its option for a second Breakaway Plus ship for spring 2017 delivery — the line has the first Breakaway Plus order scheduled for October 2015. The two 4,200-berth vessels will be the largest in Norwegian’s fleet.

Another summer announcement came from Prestige Cruise Holdings, which announced in early July that the company has put in an order for a new 738-passenger all-suite, all-balcony ship for Regent Seven Seas. This will be the largest vessel in the fleet, driving close to 40 percent growth in capacity. Named Seven Seas Explorer, it is scheduled for delivery in summer 2016.

UBS notes that Viking Ocean Cruises has been in discussions for additional orders we may see later this year, related to the December 2012 Memorandum of Agreement with Fincantieri for the construction of two more ocean cruise vessels with an option for another two. Neither the shipyard nor Viking has announced an exact delivery date for the additional newbuild orders at this time, but UBS predicts the timing to be the end of 2016 and the end of 2017. Viking Ocean already has newbuilds scheduled to debut in May 2015 and early 2016.