Tag Archives: earnings

Jefferies Raises Viking Price Target, Keeps Hold on Norwegian

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Jefferies Raises Viking Price Target, Keeps Hold on Norwegian

Viking Vela, photo credit Spacejunkie2 – https://flic.kr/ps/GkiQt

Jefferies analyst David Katz updated his outlook on two major cruise operators this week following their fourth quarter and year end 2025 earnings, lifting his price target on Viking while maintaining a cautious stance on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings.

Viking Impresses

In a note sent to investors, Katz raised his price target on Viking $91 from $80, reiterating a buy rating, after the company posted its fourth quarter and full year results.

Occupancy of 95.0%, against Katz’s 92.7% projection, led the outperformance, driven by particularly strong ocean segment results where occupancy improved 330 basis points year-over-year. Net yields rose 11.0% in the quarter, roughly double analyst expectations.

Looking ahead, Viking said fiscal 2026 is now 86% booked, up from more than 70% as of the third quarter.

“The clarity of growth is also critical support for the increasing valuation multiples we apply,” Katz wrote, adding that he expects Viking to “continue to outperform peers within cruise and across our coverage, largely irrespective of valuation levels.”

Katz also noted that Viking’s river operations are effectively fully fuel-hedged through forward purchase agreements, and that its only itineraries near the Iran conflict, a small percentage of 2026 capacity in Egypt, have not prompted guest concerns.

Norwegian: Hold, $20 Target

Katz was less upbeat on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reiterating a hold rating and maintaining his $20 price target.

Management said Norwegian is running slightly behind its optimal booking curve for 2026, he said, and plans to prioritize occupancy recovery, a strategy Katz acknowledged as “a necessary strategic move” but one that “likely comes with lower pricing in the near term.”

On the cost side, Katz said SG&A reductions are now the target for savings, with ship costs already reduced meaningfully. He expects those efforts to gain traction in the second half of 2026 and into 2027.

“Given guidance for leverage greater than 5.0x through YE26, we remain conservative on the shares,” he wrote.

Carnival Corp. Sets 2024 Q2 Earnings Date

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Carnival Corporation has scheduled a conference call with analysts for Tuesday, June 25, 2024, at 10 a.m. (EDT); 3 p.m. (BST) to discuss the company’s second-quarter financial results which are expected to be released that morning.

The call will allow company executives to go over the quarter, talk about an all-important third quarter and then take questions from Wall Street analysts.

A simulcast of the call will be available via the company’s websites at http://www.carnivalcorp.com and http://www.carnivalplc.com.

Norwegian Cruise Line pricing weak, equity analyst says

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By Tom Stieghorst

Norwegian Cruise Line’s prices are sagging, according to SunTrust Robinson Humphrey analyst Patrick Scholes, who reduced his 2014 earnings estimate as a result.

“Based on our survey data, we remain concerned about the persistent direction of pricing trends,” said Scholes, who downgraded his recommendation on the stock from “buy” to “neutral.”

Scholes said a periodic survey of pricing done in May showed prices down in the mid-single digits over the next 12 months. Advertised sailings 1-3 months out were down 5% from last year, an improvement from April, but the fifth consecutive month of decline, he said.

Prices for cruises 4-6 months out were down 6.5%, compared with 8% in April, the second month of decline, while prices 7-12 months out were down 6% for the second straight month.

Contributing to the declines was a narrowing of the premium Norwegian gets on its newer ships, Scholes said, with Norwegian Getaway selling for 3-5% less in May than other ships in the fleet that sail to similar destinations.

In addition, Scholes said onboard spending per passenger has been flat to down for three quarters “suggesting either the newer ships are not as productive as planned or the older ships are fading faster than expected.”

He reduced his 2014 earnings estimate to $449 million from $457 million previously.

Norwegian did not have any comment on the report, a spokeswoman said.

Separately, Scholes said Royal Caribbean International is on track to exceed its own forecast of profits for 2014, with pricing up double digits in May, according to survey data. Carnival Corp. prices were up 8% in May from a year earlier, “as the company laps the easy compares that resulted from the Carnival Triumph incident last year,” Scholes said.