Jefferies Raises Viking Price Target, Keeps Hold on Norwegian

Jefferies Raises Viking Price Target, Keeps Hold on Norwegian

Viking Vela, photo credit Spacejunkie2 – https://flic.kr/ps/GkiQt

Jefferies analyst David Katz updated his outlook on two major cruise operators this week following their fourth quarter and year end 2025 earnings, lifting his price target on Viking while maintaining a cautious stance on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings.

Viking Impresses

In a note sent to investors, Katz raised his price target on Viking $91 from $80, reiterating a buy rating, after the company posted its fourth quarter and full year results.

Occupancy of 95.0%, against Katz’s 92.7% projection, led the outperformance, driven by particularly strong ocean segment results where occupancy improved 330 basis points year-over-year. Net yields rose 11.0% in the quarter, roughly double analyst expectations.

Looking ahead, Viking said fiscal 2026 is now 86% booked, up from more than 70% as of the third quarter.

“The clarity of growth is also critical support for the increasing valuation multiples we apply,” Katz wrote, adding that he expects Viking to “continue to outperform peers within cruise and across our coverage, largely irrespective of valuation levels.”

Katz also noted that Viking’s river operations are effectively fully fuel-hedged through forward purchase agreements, and that its only itineraries near the Iran conflict, a small percentage of 2026 capacity in Egypt, have not prompted guest concerns.

Norwegian: Hold, $20 Target

Katz was less upbeat on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reiterating a hold rating and maintaining his $20 price target.

Management said Norwegian is running slightly behind its optimal booking curve for 2026, he said, and plans to prioritize occupancy recovery, a strategy Katz acknowledged as “a necessary strategic move” but one that “likely comes with lower pricing in the near term.”

On the cost side, Katz said SG&A reductions are now the target for savings, with ship costs already reduced meaningfully. He expects those efforts to gain traction in the second half of 2026 and into 2027.

“Given guidance for leverage greater than 5.0x through YE26, we remain conservative on the shares,” he wrote.

NCLH CFO Admits Caribbean Expansion Was Premature

NCLH CFO Admits Caribbean Expansion Was Premature

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings’ Chief Financial Officer Mark Kempa offered commentary on the company’s Caribbean capacity strategy, acknowledging that a 40 percent capacity increase into the region was pushed forward prematurely.

“In hindsight, it is clear that this shift was executed without the necessary enterprise-wide coordination,” Kempa told investors on the company’s fourth quarter and year-end earnings call.

“The capacity increase was premature.”

At the center of that was Great Stirrup Cay, the company’s private Bahamian island, which is undergoing a significant enhancement program.

The capacity shift happened before the opening of Great Tides water park on the island, which expected to open later this summer.

Kempa said the commercial infrastructure needed to absorb the additional capacity simply wasn’t ready.

Revenue management, sales, marketing, itinerary planning, and on-island monetization strategies were not aligned or integrated under a single cohesive operating plan.

“The individual components were moving forward, but they were not integrated under a single cohesive operating plan designed to absorb the capacity at the right yield,” he said.

Kempa said the headwinds are more pronounced than the company anticipated.

Kempa did express confidence in the long-term Caribbean strategy, pointing to strong early guest satisfaction scores at Great Stirrup Cay following the opening of a new pier, expanded pool facilities, and enhanced amenities.

“The early feedback reinforces our confidence that our investments are improving the guest experience and will drive strong returns,” he said.

Avora Residences Acquires Regent’s Seven Seas Navigator

Avora Residences Acquires Regent’s Seven Seas Navigator

Avora Residences has acquired the Seven Seas Navigator from Regent Seven Seas Cruises.

The vessel will debut in January 2028 as Avora Lumina, serving as the flagship of Avora’s residential platform designed specifically for long-term living at sea, the company said in a statement.

“Residential cruising has proven its viability,” said Mikael Petterson, Founder of Avora Residences as well as Villa Vie. “Avora Lumina represents the next evolution — purpose-built for long-duration global living, expedition capability, and a more refined residential experience.”

The transaction builds on the proven residential cruising model and strategically positions Avora between Villa Vie Residences’ contemporary residential cruise offerings and The World, according to a statement from Avora.

The ship was acquired on a nine-year charter deal with a nominal purchase option, according to a press release. It also creates a long-term operational agreement with Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), according to a press release.

NCLH had previously had an arrangement to sell the Navigator to Crescent Seas, in addition to an Oceania ship, with the deal falling through.

As part of this relationship, Avora plans to preserve the operational DNA of Seven Seas Navigator wherever possible, maintaining established systems, standards and key vendor and service relationships that have defined the ship.

“Our philosophy is evolution, not disruption,” said Kathy Villalba, Co-Founder & CEO of Avora Residences. “Navigator has a soul — built through years of disciplined operations, experienced crews, and trusted relationships. We intend to honor that legacy while transforming the ship into a true long-term residential platform.”

Ahead of its 2028 launch, Avora Lumina will undergo a full residential conversion. Planned upgrades include personalization and residential enhancements, reimagined common spaces optimized for long-term living, a dedicated business and global connectivity center designed to support extended voyages.

Residences range from approximately 300 to 1,173 square feet and will feature premium finishes, expansive ocean views, and opportunities for personalization.

“These are not cruise cabins,” Petterson said. “They are designed as floating homes — primary residences that travel with their owners for years at a time.”

The Avora Lumina intends to launch from Lisbon, Portugal, embarking on a three-year continuous global circumnavigation, visiting more than 140 countries and over 400 destinations across seven continents.
The ship will remain in port for up to five days at a time.

“We are building a resident-driven global platform,” said Chris Cox, President of Avora Residences. “After the first circumnavigation, owners will help shape where Lumina sails next. That fundamentally changes the residential cruise model.”

Avora Residences will offer two ownership pathways:

• Life-of-Ship Ownership, with pricing ranging from approximately $545,000 to $4.2 million across 242 private residences
• Five-Year Ownership Program, starting at approximately $219,600, offering long-term residential access with a lower overall commitment.