Royal Caribbean Increases Financial Guidance for 2024

Independence and Symphony of the Seas in San Juan, Puerto Rico photo credit Spacejunkie2 Flickr

Royal Caribbean Group today provided an update on demand and updated its 2024 guidance.

The company said it continues to be very encouraged about the demand and pricing environment for 2024.

Since its most recent update on its Q4 2023 earnings call, the WAVE booking season has exceeded the company’s initial expectations, with the first five weeks of the year resulting in the best WAVE booking weeks in the company’s history.

“Bookings have been significantly higher than during the same period last year, with the back half of the year up by more than the front half. For 2024, all four quarters and all key products are booked ahead of the same time last year in both rate and volume. Consumer spending for onboard purchases continue to exceed prior years driven by greater participation at higher prices, indicating quality and healthy future demand,” the company said in a statement.

“Since our last earnings call, robust demand for our vacation experiences has significantly exceeded our initial expectations,” said Jason Liberty, president and CEO of Royal Caribbean. “As a result, we are increasing our 2024 guidance on stronger revenue outlook, and we expect to achieve all Trifecta goals in 2024. Trifecta marks an important milestone as we remain intensely focused on delivering a lifetime of vacations and priceless memories for our guests while delivering exceptional long-term shareholder value.”

As a result of the strong WAVE season, the company is increasing its 2024 Adjusted EPS guidance by $0.40 compared to its February guidance. For the full year, Adjusted EPS is now expected to be $9.90 to $10.10 driven by an increase in constant currency net yield growth of approximately 100 bps compared to the February guidance. Approximately $0.15 of the full year increase in adjusted EPS is driven by an improved revenue outlook for the first quarter of 2024. The company now expects to achieve all Trifecta goals in 2024.

Carnival: Wave Season Sales Exceeding Expectations

Carnival Pride arriving in Liverpool UK, photo credit Spacejunkie2 Flickr Account.

Carnival Corporation announced that it has experienced an early and robust start to wave season (peak booking period), exceeding expectations, with bookings volumes since November hitting an all-time high.

According to a statement, for 2024, the company continues to have the best booked position on record, with both pricing (in constant currency) and occupancy considerably higher than 2023 levels.

The company said the first half of 2024 is almost fully booked and it said it believes its continued strong bookings momentum is expected to deliver outperformance during the year, offsetting the Red Sea rerouting impact.

NCLH Records Record-Breaking Wave Season

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) has entered 2023 with a record-booked position at a higher price, with each of its three brands experiencing “record-breaking” wave periods.

The Norwegian Cruise Line (NCL), Oceania Cruise and Regent Seven Seas Cruises parent has seen “very strong” demand so far in 2023, according to a recent trading update covering the fourth quarter and full year to 31 December 2022. 

The company entered the year with a cumulative booked position of approximately 62% for 2023, in line with previously outlined expectations and within the firm’s optimal 60% to 65% range, and at higher prices than 2019 at a similar point in time.

Booking volumes have accelerated in recent months buoyed by strong wave season demand, NCLH said, with its brands achieving several booking records in recent months.

As a result, the full-year 2023 cumulative booked position is ahead of 2019 levels inclusive of the company’s 19% increase in capacity.

NCLH expects this positive momentum to continue throughout the year, with occupancy expected to average 100% for the first quarter and is on track to reach “historical levels” for the second quarter.

As of 31 December 2022, the company’s advance ticket sales balance, including the long-term portion, was $2.7 billion, approximately 9% higher than the prior quarter and approximately 30% greater than at year-end 2019.